Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.035311 0.038391 0.041478 0.044800 0.048268 0.051775 0.055585
2026-01-25 0.029051 0.033525 0.038155 0.043281 0.048776 0.054468 0.060793
2026-02-01 0.024916 0.030382 0.036202 0.042807 0.050045 0.057690 0.066332
2026-02-08 0.021805 0.028005 0.034781 0.042639 0.051415 0.060836 0.071635
2026-02-15 0.020123 0.027023 0.034732 0.043835 0.054153 0.065367 0.078361
2026-02-22 0.018560 0.026016 0.034521 0.044728 0.056454 0.069338 0.084406
2026-03-01 0.016995 0.024865 0.034027 0.045197 0.058190 0.072610 0.089614
2026-03-08 0.015480 0.023651 0.033359 0.045374 0.059517 0.075359 0.094185
2026-03-15 0.014570 0.023111 0.033435 0.046372 0.061749 0.079103 0.099850
2026-03-22 0.012924 0.021519 0.032140 0.045659 0.061917 0.080429 0.102722
2026-03-29 0.011894 0.020656 0.031687 0.045909 0.063177 0.082982 0.106967
2026-04-05 0.011147 0.020114 0.031596 0.046566 0.064894 0.086042 0.111780
2026-04-12 0.010360 0.019491 0.031395 0.047100 0.066491 0.089007 0.116543
2026-04-19 0.008787 0.017659 0.029549 0.045517 0.065481 0.088875 0.117685
2026-04-26 0.007775 0.016552 0.028600 0.045020 0.065758 0.090236 0.120550
2026-05-03 0.006967 0.015688 0.027931 0.044843 0.066401 0.092012 0.123886
2026-05-10 0.006698 0.015632 0.028352 0.046071 0.068783 0.095870 0.129678
2026-05-17 0.006351 0.015424 0.028546 0.046988 0.070769 0.099248 0.134904
2026-05-24 0.005895 0.015006 0.028422 0.047470 0.072197 0.101944 0.139315
2026-05-31 0.005386 0.014459 0.028087 0.047652 0.073230 0.104152 0.143138
2026-06-07 0.005152 0.014362 0.028389 0.048678 0.075331 0.107658 0.148512
2026-06-14 0.004466 0.013414 0.027409 0.047945 0.075164 0.108376 0.150534
2026-06-21 0.004087 0.012981 0.027170 0.048202 0.076255 0.110627 0.154390